Global Crypto Press was the first crypto news outlet to cover this story back in February when all we had was a single inside source. Three months later, our source's information seems to have been 100% accurate, as the 'rumors' from then are now part of official statements made by the government of Hong Kong.

For those just joining the story here, the important thing to know is that in 2021 China implemented a crypto trading and mining ban and ejected any company that existed for those purposes. China went from the country with the most mining power, to completely off of the top 10 list, with small countries like Malaysia and Iran now outperforming them.

You may wonder - why is that surprising? If they banned trading and mining, isn't it predictable that a sudden drop in mining hashpower coming out of China would follow? 

It's a fair question, and most people did predict the effect of a Chinese ban on crypto... at least once among the 6 times they 'banned' crypto before this, just to have its popularity continue to grow. 

But the 2021 ban was unlike any of their previous attempts, it was backed with enforcement as businesses that continued to leave their bitcoin miners running found themselves being raided, and their hardware seized. Now, with the choice to risk being next or relocate, companies either moved to other countries or simply sold their mining hardware to a company that was.

This is how the situation remained, until now.

Now, crypto appears to be on the verge of returning to China via Hong Kong...

Hong Kong is a unique situation, once fully independent of China, they are now officially 'part of China' - but unlike any other area of the country they maintain the ability to pass their own laws and remain economically independent from the federal government.  

It's with these additional freedoms that Hong Kong has just announced they will begin issuing permits to crypto based businesses beginning June 1st.

3 Things We Will Likely See Happen Almost Immediately...

- First, an increase in the overall demand for cryptocurrencies. China has one of the largest economies in the world, and if a significant portion of its population begins investing in or using cryptocurrencies, it could drive up the price of these digital assets. This could potentially lead to a new bull market in cryptocurrencies, benefiting investors and businesses in the sector.

This is why Binance CEO CZ tweeted that historically news like this is followed by a bull run. 

- Secondly, increased innovation in the crypto space. China is known for its technological prowess, and if Chinese companies are allowed to operate in the crypto space, it could lead to new technological advancements and applications for blockchain technology. 

Unfortunately, Chinese technological advances are often the result of stolen data as the nation infamously targets tech companies around the globe with the intent of recreating propritaty tech.

- Third likely impact we'll see is this decision influencing other countries' policies towards crypto. If China, once a staunch opponent of cryptocurrencies, reverses this to allow them  it could encourage other countries that have been hesitant about cryptocurrencies to reconsider as well.

I can't think of any examples of countries willingly staying out of a market both the US and China are in.

One Concern Remains..

While Hong Kong still maintains some independence from the rest of the Chinese Government, Laws they pass in Hong Kong can be vetoed by the ruling party.

We brought this up when speaking to our source there nearly 3 months ago, that portion of the article reads:

...we're hearing that Hong Kong leaders are NOT being met with disapproval from China's leadership in Beijing "there's nothing to indicate mainland officials don't want this to happen, and I believe we're well beyond the point where they would make their stance known" our source explained.

Beijing quietly allowing this to happen may be thanks to some of China's wealthiest business leaders, who have been complaining to officials about being restricted from a market with huge growth potential..."

At the time we published that article Hong Kong was still several steps away from this becoming a reality, now they're on the final step having announced their intention to issue permits for crypto companies to operate there starting June 1st.

It's a situation where approval from the ruling Communist Party will come in the form of silence. Hong Kong is providing a way for the ruling party to reverse their 2021 crypto ban without the President or other high ranking party leaders having to acknowledge it. 

Considering we're just 3 days away from Hong Kong officially open to issue permits for crypto companies to provide their services to citizens, we believe if Beijing disapproved they would have made that clear by now.

In our opinion, this is actually going to happen.

------- 
Author: Adam Lee 
Asia News Desk 
Breaking Crypto News

China banning Bitcoin had become a joke in the years preceding it actually happening, with the country repeatedly announcing that Bitcoin was banned, 6 times to be exact, and every time the percentage of Bitcoin's network located within China increased  

However, last year, Chinese authorities began seizing expensive mining equipment from facilities still up and running, and the ban began to be taken seriously.

The process of shutting down hundreds of mining operations happened virtually overnight.

At the time of the ban, China was the top-ranked nation for Bitcoin mining...

China is currently just a blip on the radar, occasionally a Chinese IP address will be seen as some individual hobbyists, and a few remaining mining operations still running “taking steps to hide their location”. 

Now there are signs that China's leadership may view the ban on cryptocurrencies as too broad, with manybusiness leaders within China's tech industry believing that a crypto-free China would put the country to be a step behind the rest of the world. 

"VR and the metaverse are largely considered the next big thing that will have a major impact on the industry - do people think they can hand over printed paper money in a virtual world?" Says one of my sources within China, a lead developer for a Chinese software company that provides software related to the back-end management of both stock and crypto trading platforms. With an agreement that we wouldn't use his name, our (very encrypted) chat last night continued... "That's just the beginning, because everything you own in that world, your clothes, your house, your car. they're all going to be NFTs.  I was worried China would be sitting it out, delusionaland waiting for the day people say they no longer have a need for decentralized cryptocurrencies thanks to China's digital yuen. The reality of it is, people are going to be buying crypto (NFTs) with other crypto."        

The Signs...

The current crypto ban did not result in every crypto-related company in China being shut down. Some crypto-based companies were allowed to continue operating inside China if their user base was mostly international. If companies could remain profitable while still excluding Chinese citizens from their services, they were allowed to continue operating.

One such company is Conflux, which recently saw a huge influx of funds, resulting in gains of 143% in just one week and 800% over the last month.

Assets such as Filecoin, Neo, Vechain, Cocos-BCX, Polkadot, and EOS have registered price increases of between 10% and up to 40% in a matter of days.

Why this sudden positive price movement for anything crypto related out of China? 

What began as a rumor has just became a very real possibility...

It is now confirmed via the Hong Kong Securities and Futures Commission (SFC) - they're evaluating a proposal that would legalize crypto trading in Hong Kong.  While officially part of China, Hong Kong still has the ability to pass laws independent of the mainland. 

The law would bring regulation of exchanges - and also legalize buying, selling and trading in the territory.

Currently, no western investment firms (which are required to reveal their holdings) have announced large investments in Chinese based cryptocurrencies or their supporting companies.

As of now, our best guess that the investing is happening internally, specifically by wealthy investors who believe this is going to happen. While these trades may technically be breaking the rules today, they believe ownership of these assets will soon be given the green light anyway.

Keep in mind, anyone in China with millions to invest will also have close ties with the ruling party, so their investments could indicate they know much more than the general public.  If that is the case here, it seems they've been told that this is going to happen.

Where things stand as of today...

The biggest surprise  - we're hearing that Hong Kong leaders are NOT being met with disapproval from China's leadership in Beijing "there's nothing to indicate mainland officials don't want this to happen, and I believe we're well beyond the point where they would make their stance known" a source explained.

Beijing quietly allowing this to happen may be thanks to some of China's wealthiest business leaders, who have been complaining to officials about being restricted from a market with huge growth potential - saying they understand the risks, and take proper safeguards to prevent any catastrophic losses.  They believe those who can afford to take risks should be guided by regulations that take this in to account. 

It's unlikely the same leadership that banned crypto trading have completely reversed their views, but they may now be willing to allow it if the the requirements still discourage the average citizen  Only allowing crypto trading via Hong Kong would be enough of a barrier to stop the 'average worker' from risking their funds in the market, as the expenses involved with taking trips to and from Hong Kong would be enough to make simply make it not worth doing. 

A major impact to global crypto markets...

As one of the largest economies in the world, China’s re-entry into the cryptocurrency market could have a ripple effect on the global market. This could lead to increased adoption of cryptocurrencies worldwide. 

Also worth noting - China's ban has been an example to other counties that discourage investing or adoption of cryptocurrencies - Chinese investors re-joining the crypto market would mean no major superpower is enforcing a ban on cryptocurrencies.